It’s the most wonderful time of the year. The Oscars!
If you’re interested, at the time Oscar nominations were announced on February 8, I had seen 25% (30/120) of the nominees, while as of this writing, I have seen 62% (74/120). I’ll be offering predictions below, but I’ll abstain if I haven't seen enough of the work or can’t in good faith make a call.
Best Picture
Will Win: CODA
Should Win: Licorice Pizza
Our Pick: Bo Burnham: Inside
Best Director
Will Win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Should Win: Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
Our Pick: Bo Burnham, Bo Burnham: Inside
Best Actor
Will Win: Will Smith, King Richard
Should Win: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Our Pick: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress
Will Win: Penélope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
Should Win: Abstain
Our Pick: Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Tony Kotsur, CODA
Should Win: Tony Kotsur, CODA
Our Pick: Mike Faist, West Side Story
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Should Win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Our Pick: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Belfast, Kenneth Branagh
Should Win: Licorice Pizza, Paul Thomas Anderson
Our Pick: Licorice Pizza, Paul Thomas Anderson
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: CODA, Sian Heder
Should Win: The Power of the Dog, Jane Campion
Our Pick: The Power of the Dog, Jane Campion
Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Encanto
Should Win: Abstain
Our Pick: Abstain
Best International Feature Film
Will Win: Drive My Car
Should Win: Drive My Car
Our Pick: À l'abordage (All Hands on Deck)
Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Summer of Soul
Should Win: Abstain
Our Pick: Abstain
Best Documentary Short Subject
Will Win: The Queen of Basketball
Should Win: The Queen of Basketball
Our Pick: The Queen of Basketball
Best Live Action Short Film
Will Win: The Long Goodbye
Should Win: Abstain
Our Pick: Abstain
Best Animated Short Film
Will Win: Bestia
Should Win: Abstain
Our Pick: Abstain
Best Original Score
Will Win: Dune, Hans Zimmer
Should Win: Dune, Hans Zimmer
Our Pick: Don’t Look Up, Nicholas Britell
Best Original Song
Will Win: “No Time To Die” from No Time to Die
Should Win: “Down to Joy” from Belfast
Our Pick: “All Eyes On Me” by Bo Burnham: Inside
Best Sound
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: West Side Story
Our Pick: The Killing of Two Lovers
Best Production Design
Will Win: Nightmare Alley
Should Win: Nightmare Alley
Our Pick: Licorice Pizza
Best Cinematography
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: West Side Story
Our Pick: Bo Burnham: Inside
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should Win: House of Gucci
Our Pick: House of Gucci
Best Costume Design
Will Win: Cruella
Should Win: West Side Story
Our Pick: West Side Story
Best Film Editing
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: The Power of the Dog
Our Pick: The Power of the Dog
Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Dune
Should Win: Dune
Our Pick: Dune